The SPAC Cycle

Every bubble follows a pattern: setup → boom → mania → collapse → aftermath. The SPAC cycle is a textbook example.

Peak Year

2021

613 SPACs

Peak Capital

$162.5B

Trough Year

2023

31 SPACs

Cycle Length

~5 years

Boom to bust

The Full Cycle

1

2019

The Setup

SPACs existed but were niche. 59 IPOs, $13.6B raised. The calm before the storm.

59 SPAC IPOs$13.6B raisedStill a niche product
2

2020

The Boom

COVID stimulus + zero rates + retail trading mania. SPACs go mainstream. 4x growth in one year.

248 SPAC IPOs (+320%)$83.4B raisedNikola hits $28B with no product
3

2021

The Mania

Peak insanity. More SPACs than traditional IPOs. Everyone launches one. Chamath plans A through Z.

613 SPAC IPOs (all-time record)$162.5B raisedMore SPACs than traditional IPOs
4

2022

The Collapse

Rate hikes crush growth stocks. SEC proposes rules. Banks flee. First bankruptcies begin.

86 SPAC IPOs (-86%)Goldman/Citi stop underwritingFirst EV SPAC bankruptcy
5

2023

The Graveyard

21 bankruptcies in one year. 95% redemption rates. The walking dead era. $46B in equity destroyed.

31 SPAC IPOs21 bankruptcies in one year95% average redemption rate
6

2024–25

Cautious Revival

New SEC rules in place. Smaller, more targeted SPACs return. Will they repeat history?

57 IPOs (2024), 71 (2025)New disclosure requirementsSmaller deal sizes, better targets?

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